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Bundesliga

Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Werder Bremen

Bulter (5', 8'), Hlozek (12')
Tohumcu (10'), Matarazzo (45+3'), Stach (78'), Drexler (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Malatini (21'), Stage (26', 39', 49')
Kohn (22'), Stage (73'), Topp (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.29% (1.685 1.69)22.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.89% (-1.68 -1.68)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-1.278 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-1.14 -1.14)38.79% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-1.214 -1.21)61.1% (1.216 1.22)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (0.18299999999999 0.18)16% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (0.332 0.33)45.32% (-0.329 -0.33)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-1.681 -1.68)26.46% (1.684 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-2.293 -2.29)61.64% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.29%
    Werder Bremen 27.89%
    Draw 22.81%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.174 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.457 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.459 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.141 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.152 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.224 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.89%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
39.1%
Draw
39.1%
Werder Bremen
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Werder Bremen
Beier (8', 44')
Grillitsch (49'), Tohumcu (51'), Bulter (61'), Kaderabek (78')
Bulter (73')
Alvero (90+2')
Deman (85')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
2-3
Hoffenheim
Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')
Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Werder Bremen
1-2
Hoffenheim
Pieper (76')
Kramaric (50'), Baumgartner (52')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hoffenheim
1-2
Werder Bremen
Dabour (32')
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
> Preview