Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Rothe (4'), Woo-yeong (6')
Siebatcheu (23'), Vertessen (85'), Rothe (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bulter (67')
Kaderabek (50'), Bischof (79'), Tohumcu (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Hoffenheim
45.78% ( 0.24)	23.93% ( -0.15)	30.28% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 59.48% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

0.65)

42.54% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

0.64)

64.94% (

-0.64)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21% (

0.36)

18.79% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.8% (

0.59)

50.2% (

-0.59)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

0.27)

26.76% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

0.34)

62.04% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 45.78%

Hoffenheim 30.28%

Draw 23.93%

Union Berlin	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.78%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.28%