Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.