Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.54%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.