Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 22, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
5 - 1
Dortmund

Undav (4', 90'), Demirovic (21'), Millot (62'), Bilal Toure (80')
Leweling (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guirassy (75')
Can (73'), Sabitzer (77'), Bensebaini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Brugge 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
47.98% ( -0.21)	22.01% ( 0.01)	30% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 66.37% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.58% (

0.1)

33.41% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.8% (

0.11)

55.2% (

-0.11)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

-0.03)

14.47% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

-0.07)

42.44% (

0.07)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

0.17)

22.4% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

0.26)

55.91% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 47.98%

Borussia Dortmund 30%

Draw 22.02%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.02%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 30%