Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.