DFB-Pokal
Aug 17, 2024 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Erzgebirgsstadion
  • Mika Clausen 8' goal
  • Tim Hoffmann 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Killian Jakob 51' yellowcard
  • Martin Mannel 53' yellowcard
  • goal Franck Honorat 35'
  • goal Luca Netz 52'
  • goal Alassane Plea 70'

Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Monchengladbach - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Erzgebirge Aue

All competitions

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result

Erzgebirge Aue 22.47% (-0.75)
Draw 19.02% (-0.30)
Borussia Monchengladbach 58.51% (+1.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

70.09% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.45% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 25.55% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 54.37% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 45.63% (-0.70)
Over 4.5 34.86% (+0.68)
Under 4.5 65.14% (-0.68)

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5 76.95% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 23.05% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 43.13% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 56.87% (+0.33)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5 91.08% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 8.92% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 69.52% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 30.48% (-0.97)

Score analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 22.47%
Draw 19.02%
Borussia Monchengladbach 58.51%
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 3.02% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 2.21% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 22.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.02%
Borussia Monchengladbach
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 7.1% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 5.21% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.84% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 4.29% (+0.14)
2-4 @ 3.15% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 2.92% (+0.12)
1-5 @ 2.07% (+0.11)
3-4 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
2-5 @ 1.52% (+0.07)
0-5 @ 1.41% (+0.08)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 58.51%