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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 1-0 (5.32%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 45.34% ( | 21.68% ( | 32.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.78% ( | 30.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.55% ( | 51.44% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( | 14.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( | 41.83% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( | 19.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( | 50.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-2 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-3 @ 1.24% ( 5-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-3 @ 2.53% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 3-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.97% |