Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Bero (15'), Daschner (22')
Bero (39'), de Wit (48'), Passlack (78'), Hofmann (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Machino (35', 89')
Knudsen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Holstein Kiel
43.84% ( 1.86)	22.69% ( -0.48)	33.47% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 65.62% (

1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.88% (

2.01)

35.12% (

-2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.87% (

2.21)

57.12% (

-2.22)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

1.56)

16.62% (

-1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55% (

2.74)

46.44% (

-2.75)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

0.2)

21.3% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

0.32)

54.23% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 43.84%

Holstein Kiel 33.47%

Draw 22.69%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.15) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.84%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.68% Total : 33.47%