Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 2
VfL Bochum

Guirassy (44', 75'), Can (62' pen.), Nmecha (81')
Couto (58'), Gross (70')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bero (16'), de Wit (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-1 Dortmund
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.43%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (4.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	VfL Bochum
62.43% ( -0)	18.65% ( -0.01)	18.92% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 65.39% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.96% (

0.09)

29.04% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.98% (

0.11)

50.02% (

-0.11)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.94% (

0.03)

9.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.19% (

0.06)

30.81% (

-0.06)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.07)

28.1% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

0.09)

63.77% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 62.43%

VfL Bochum 18.92%

Draw 18.65%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.33% Total : 62.43%	1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.65%	1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 18.92%