Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Dortmund
Sep 27, 2024 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
VfL Bochum
  • Serhou Guirassy 44' goal
  • Yan Couto 58' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 62' goal
  • Pascal Gross 70' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 75' goal
  • Felix Nmecha 81' goal
  • goal Matus Bero 16'
  • goal Dani de Wit 21'

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Bochum - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
Stuttgart 5 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Myron Boadu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.43%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (4.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 62.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 18.65% ▼ (-0.02)
VfL Bochum 18.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.39% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 29.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 49.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 50.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 30.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 69.28% ▼ (-0.10)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 90.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 9.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 69.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 30.81% ▼ (-0.06)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 71.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 28.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 36.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 63.77% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 62.43%
Draw 18.65%
VfL Bochum 18.92%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 62.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 18.65%
VfL Bochum
1-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 18.92%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Dortmund
Jan 28, 2024 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
VfL Bochum
  • Niclas Fullkrug 6' goal
  • Donyell Malen 56' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 72' goal
  • Niclas Fullkrug 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Riemann 4'
  • goal Nico Schlotterbeck 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Maximilian Wittek 59'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Paciencia 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
VfL Bochum
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Dortmund
  • Kevin Stoger 13' goal
  • Kevin Stoger 66' yellowcard
  • Matus Bero 71' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 56'
  • yellowcard Emre Can 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
VfL Bochum
Apr 28, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Anthony Losilla 5' goal
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 7'
DFB-Pokal
VfL Bochum
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Dortmund
  • Kevin Stoger 64' goal
  • goal Emre Can 45'+1'
  • goal Marco Reus 70'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dortmund
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
VfL Bochum
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 8' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 12' goal
  • Youssoufa Moukoko 45'+2' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Dortmund
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
VfL Bochum
  • Erling Braut Haaland 18' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 24' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 30' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 62' goal
  • Tom Rothe 89' yellowcard
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Polter 3'
  • goal Gerrit Holtmann 8'
  • yellowcard Anthony Losilla 31'
  • yellowcard Erhan Masovic 35'
  • goal Jurgen Locadia 81'
  • goal Milos Pantovic 85'
  • yellowcard Simon Zoller 90'+2'

Form Data

Stuttgart 5 - 1 Dortmund
Brugge 0 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 4 - 2 Heidenheim
Werder Bremen 0 - 0 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 0 Frankfurt
Phonix Lubeck 1 - 4 Dortmund
VfL Bochum 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Freiburg 2 - 1 VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum 0 - 2 Borussia M'bach
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 VfL Bochum
Jahn 1 - 0 VfL Bochum
Le Havre 0 - 6 VfL Bochum