Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.