Leixoes
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 23, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio do Mar
Braga

Leixoes
0 - 2
Braga


Fernandes (29'), Ibrahim Alhassan (44'), Santos de Sousa (60'), Santos de Sousa (65'), Paulinho (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cerqueira Pinto Basto (12' og.), Bruma (67')
Niakate (27'), Andre (83')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Leixoes and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leixoes

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Leixoes 2-1 Alcains
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Braga

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
LeixoesDrawBraga
14.36% (0.032999999999999 0.03)21.63% (0.102 0.1)64.01% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
Both teams to score 44.81% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.33 -0.33)51.11% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.29 -0.29)72.96% (0.294 0.29)
Leixoes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.92% (-0.153 -0.15)47.08% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.45% (-0.116 -0.12)82.55% (0.12100000000001 0.12)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)15.32% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.94% (-0.286 -0.29)44.06% (0.291 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Leixoes 14.36%
    Braga 64.01%
    Draw 21.62%
LeixoesDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 14.36%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 13.53% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 12.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 64.01%