Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.