Leixoes
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio do Mar

Leixoes
2 - 1
Alcains

Martins (45+2' pen.), Paulinho (49')
Zag (29'), Freitas (77'), Henrique (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Henrique Martins Rocha (68')
Erins de Matos (45')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Leixoes and Alcains.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leixoes

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Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Leixoes
Saturday, July 20 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
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Alcains

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leixoes win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Alcains had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leixoes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Alcains win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leixoes would win this match.

Result
LeixoesDrawAlcains
63.24% (0.133 0.13)23.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)13.65% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 39.23% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (-0.18 -0.18)57.77% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (-0.143 -0.14)78.51% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Leixoes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.91% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.72% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Alcains Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.79% (-0.305 -0.31)52.21% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.86% (-0.198 -0.2)86.14% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Leixoes 63.23%
    Alcains 13.65%
    Draw 23.11%
LeixoesDrawAlcains
1-0 @ 16.08% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
2-0 @ 13.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.93% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 63.23%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.35% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.11%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.65%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Leixoes