Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
4 - 3
RB Leipzig

Hlozek (17', 82'), Bischof (50'), Bruun Larsen (87')
Kramaric (75'), Kaderabek (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Orban (15'), Nusa (19'), Nsoki (67' og.)
Lukeba (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, November 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	RB Leipzig
35% ( -0.81)	22.25% ( 0.05)	42.75% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 67.83% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.55% (

-0.46)

32.44% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.92% (

-0.53)

54.08% (

0.53)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.59)

19.28% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98% (

-0.98)

51.02% (

0.98)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

0.11)

15.96% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74% (

0.19)

45.26% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 35%

RB Leipzig 42.75%

Draw 22.25%

Hoffenheim	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.81% Total : 42.75%