RB Leipzig vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.