Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	St Pauli
50.88% ( -0.01)	22.92% ( 0)	26.2% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.87% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.37% (

-0.01)

40.63% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.99% (

-0.01)

63.01% (

0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88% (

-0.01)

16.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

-0.01)

45.53% (

0.01)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

28.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

64.43% (

-0)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 50.88%

St Pauli 26.2%

Draw 22.92%

RB Leipzig	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.88%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 26.2%