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Ramy Bensebaini
43'
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Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
75'
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Julian Brandt
77'
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Serhou Guirassy
83'
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Morgan Guilavogui
30'
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Eric Smith
40'
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Eric Smith
78'
Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.17%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (6.9%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
St Pauli Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.50)
3-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.47)
3-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.35)
3-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.18)
4-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.11)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-97.52)
5-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 57.17%
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.35%
0-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 22.49%