Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 18, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 1
St Pauli

Bensebaini (43'), Guirassy (83')
Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Brandt (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Guilavogui (30'), Smith (78')
Smith (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.17%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (6.9%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	St Pauli
57.17% ( -1.33)	20.35% ( 0.07)	22.49% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 64.85% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.81% (

1.33)

32.18% (

-1.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.22% (

1.54)

53.78% (

-1.54)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.71% (

0.06)

11.29% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.08% (

0.13)

35.92% (

-0.13)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11% (

1.82)

26.89% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

2.33)

62.2% (

-2.33)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 57.17%

St Pauli 22.49%

Draw 20.35%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 57.17%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.79% Total : 22.49%