Bundesliga Gameweek 8
RB Leipzig
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Freiburg
  • Chukwubuike Adamu 38' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 47' goal
  • Lutsharel Geertruida 58' goal
  • Lois Openda 79' goal
  • Lois Openda 88' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ritsu Doan 15'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 46'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 80'

RB Leipzig vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 2.30pm
Mainz 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benjamin Sesko

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 2.30pm
Freiburg 3 - 1 Augsburg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result

RB Leipzig 54.47% ▲ (+0.53)
Draw 22.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Freiburg 22.66% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.99% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.7% ▼ (-0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 83.96% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 16.04% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 54.6% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 45.4% ▼ (-0.34)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 66.68% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 33.32% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 30.06% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 69.93% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 54.47%
Draw 22.86%
Freiburg 22.66%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.40)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.86%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.66%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Freiburg
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
RB Leipzig
  • Vincenzo Grifo 59' goal
  • Lucas Holer 64' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Amadou Haidara 2'
  • goal Lois Openda 18'
  • goal Lois Openda 44'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 54'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 64'
  • yellowcard David Raum 68'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 73'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 75'
  • yellowcard Ritsu Doan 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
RB Leipzig
Nov 12, 2023 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Freiburg
  • Xavi Simons 6' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 62' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 63' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 79' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 80' goal
  • goal Merlin Rohl 45'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Freiburg
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • goal Kevin Kampl 73'
DFB-Pokal
Freiburg
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 4
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
RB Leipzig
  • Michael Gregoritsch 75' goal
  • goal Dani Olmo 13'
  • goal Benjamin Henrichs 14'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 37'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 45'+1'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Freiburg
  • Mohamed Simakan 54' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 56' goal
  • Emil Forsberg 78' goal
  • goal Lukas Kubler 66'
DFB-Pokal
Freiburg
May 21, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
RB Leipzig
  • Maximilian Eggestein 19' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 81' yellowcard
  • Philipp Lienhart 90' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 113' yellowcard
  • redcard Marcel Halstenberg 57'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 57'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 57'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 76'
  • yellowcard Emil Forsberg 82'
  • yellowcard Domenico Tedesco 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 119'

Form Data

RB Leipzig 0 - 1 Liverpool
Mainz 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
Heidenheim 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Juventus
RB Leipzig 4 - 0 Augsburg
St Pauli 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
Freiburg 3 - 1 Augsburg
Werder Bremen 0 - 1 Freiburg
Freiburg 0 - 3 St Pauli
Heidenheim 0 - 3 Freiburg
Freiburg 2 - 1 VfL Bochum
Bayern 2 - 0 Freiburg