Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
0 - 1
Freiburg

Malatini (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doan (75')
Eggestein (36'), Osterhage (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Freiburg
33.58% ( -0.44)	25.81% ( -0.01)	40.61% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.3% (

-0.04)

49.7% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.29% (

-0.04)

71.71% (

0.04)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.29)

28.17% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.38)

63.86% (

0.38)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81% (

0.22)

24.19% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48% (

0.31)

58.52% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 33.58%

Freiburg 40.61%

Draw 25.8%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.58%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.61%