Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grifo (34'), Lienhart (37'), Gunter (45+1')
Lienhart (24')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tietz (65')
Komur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
46.1% ( 1.17)	23.46% ( 0.02)	30.44% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 61.27% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.78% (

-0.65)

40.21% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.41% (

-0.68)

62.59% (

0.68)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

0.21)

17.74% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58% (

0.36)

48.42% (

-0.35)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

-1.04)

25.51% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

-1.45)

60.35% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 46.1%

Augsburg 30.44%

Draw 23.46%

Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 46.1%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.44%