Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaminski 76'
  • yellowcard Joakim Maehle 82'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majer 90'

St Pauli vs Wolfsburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
Wolfsburg 2 - 4 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Mohamed El Amine Amoura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 45.03% (-0.25)
Draw 23.36% (-0.02)
Wolfsburg 31.61% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.29% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.84% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 39.16% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 38.51% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 61.48% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 20.96% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 79.04% (-0.17)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 82.25% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.75% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 48.44% (+0.04)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 75.73% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 24.27% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 41.37% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 58.63% (-0.36)

Score analysis

St Pauli 45.03%
Draw 23.35%
Wolfsburg 31.61%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 45.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.35%
Wolfsburg
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.61%