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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 45.03% ( | 23.36% ( | 31.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( | 39.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( | 61.48% ( |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( | 17.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( | 48.44% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( | 24.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( | 58.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 45.03% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.61% |