Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.