Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
Werder Bremen

Tomas (19'), Maehle (79')
Arnold (42'), Deman (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Weiser (45+5'), Agu (51'), Ducksch (67'), Grull (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
33.24% ( -0.08)	24.45% ( 0.07)	42.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.01% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

-0.37)

43.74% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.87% (

-0.36)

66.13% (

0.36)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

-0.23)

25.5% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

-0.31)

60.35% (

0.31)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0.15)

20.78% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

-0.24)

53.43% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 33.24%

Werder Bremen 42.31%

Draw 24.45%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.24%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.31%