Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.