Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Claude-Maurice (25', 50')
Giannoulis (42'), Tietz (73'), Gouweleeuw (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Malen (4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (71'), Bensebaini (90+4')
Raouf Mohammed Kabar (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
41.74% ( -0.22)	22.98% ( -0.05)	35.28% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 65.06% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.92% (

0.33)

36.08% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.82% (

0.36)

58.18% (

-0.36)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

0.05)

17.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

0.08)

48.6% (

-0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

0.29)

20.8% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

0.45)

53.46% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 41.74%

Borussia Dortmund 35.28%

Draw 22.98%

Augsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.98%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.28%