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Antonio Rudiger
60'
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Vinicius Junior
62'
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Lucas Vazquez
83'
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Vinicius Junior
86'
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Vinicius Junior
87'
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Vinicius Junior
90'+3'
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Donyell Malen
30'
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Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
34'
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 60.48%
2-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.01%
0-1 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 19.51%
Head to Head
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Nico Schlotterbeck
40'
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Marcel Sabitzer
43'
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Mats Hummels
79'
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Vinicius Junior
35'
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Dani Carvajal
74'
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Vinicius Junior
83'
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Borja Mayoral
8'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
12'
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Lucas Vazquez
81'
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Marc Bartra
16'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
43'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
49'
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Omer Toprak
52'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
54'
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Julian Weigl
63'
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Gareth Bale
18'
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Gareth Bale
29'
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Dani Carvajal
39'
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Luka Modric
40'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
49'
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Cristiano Ronaldo
79'
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Karim Benzema
28'
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Luka Modric
38'
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Karim Benzema
53'
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Casemiro
69'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
60'
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Sokratis Papastathopoulos
71'
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Marco Reus
88'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
43'
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Marcel Schmelzer
50'
-
Julian Weigl
74'
-
Raphael Guerreiro
77'
-
Andre Schurrle
87'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
93'
-
Cristiano Ronaldo
17'
-
Sergio Ramos
63'
-
Raphael Varane
68'
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Marco Reus
24'
-
Marco Reus
37'
-
Marco Reus
75'
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
83'
-
Sergio Ramos
28'
-
Xabi Alonso
31'
-
Daniel Carvajal
68'
-
Casemiro
83'
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Karim Benzema
90'
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