La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Villarreal

Valverde (14'), Junior (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Femenia (33')

Reaction

Vinicius Jr (Real Madrid CF) gestures during the LaLiga match on September 24, 2024

Real Madrid confirm Vinicius Junior injury after substitution against Villarreal

Real Madrid confirm that Vinicius Junior suffered "a cervical injury" during Saturday's La Liga clash against Villarreal.

Oct 6, 12:07

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti on September 1, 2024

Real Madrid suffer second injury blow vs. Villarreal after Dani Carvajal devastation

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti says that Vinicius Junior suffered "a cervical problem" during Saturday's La Liga clash against Villarreal.

Oct 6, 07:08

Real Madrid defender Dani Carvajal on October 5, 2024

Real Madrid suffer significant injury blow as Dani Carvajal reveals seriousness of issue

Real Madrid defender Dani Carvajal reveals that he suffered a cruciate ligament injury during his side's La Liga clash with Villarreal on Saturday night.

Oct 6, 06:50

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
71.06% ( -0.02)	16.64% ( -0.15)	12.3% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.63% (

1.24)

33.36% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.85% (

1.41)

55.14% (

-1.41)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.68% (

0.31)

8.31% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.01% (

0.76)

28.98% (

-0.76)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1% (

1.11)

38.9% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.37% (

1.03)

75.63% (

-1.04)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 71.06%

Villarreal 12.3%

Draw 16.64%

Real Madrid	Draw	Villarreal
2-0 @ 10% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 71.06%	1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.64%	1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 12.3%