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Federico Valverde
14'
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Vinicius Junior
73'
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Kiko Femenia
33'
Real Madrid vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Villarreal Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.18)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.15)
5-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.13)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.08)
6-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.03)
6-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-94.20)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 71.06%
2-2 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.64%
0-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 12.3%
Head to Head
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Alexander Sorloth
39'
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Alexander Sorloth
48'
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Alberto Moreno
45'+5'
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Alexander Sorloth
52'
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Alexander Sorloth
56'
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Bertrand Traore
84'
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Marcelino
90'+1'
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Arda Guler
14'
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Joselu
30'
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Lucas Vazquez
40'
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Arda Guler
45'+2'
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Eduardo Camavinga
66'
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Dani Ceballos
86'
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Jude Bellingham
25'
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Rodrygo
37'
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Brahim Diaz
64'
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Jude Bellingham
67'
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Luka Modric
68'
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Aurelien Tchouameni
83'
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Jose Luis Morales
54'
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Adria Altimira
67'
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Ilias Akhomach
74'
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Etienne Capoue
85'
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Pau Torres
16'
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Vinicius Junior
48'
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Samuel Chukwueze
39'
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Jose Luis Morales
70'
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Samuel Chukwueze
80'
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Etienne Capoue
4'
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Samuel Chukwueze
42'
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Vinicius Junior
57'
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Eder Militao
69'
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Dani Ceballos
86'
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Yeremy Pino
47'
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Gerard Moreno
63'
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Karim Benzema
60'
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Juan Foyth
23'
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Raul Albiol
51'
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Eder Militao
23'
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Marco Asensio
29'
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Gareth Bale
45'+2'
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Casemiro
88'
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