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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Villarreal logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Villarreal

Valverde (14'), Junior (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Femenia (33')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid respond to their Champions League setback last week by recording a 2-0 victory over Villarreal in La Liga.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
71.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 16.64% (-0.153 -0.15) 12.3% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 56.02% (1.202 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.63% (1.242 1.24)33.36% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.85% (1.408 1.41)55.14% (-1.413 -1.41)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.68% (0.306 0.31)8.31% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.01% (0.758 0.76)28.98% (-0.761 -0.76)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (1.11 1.11)38.9% (-1.113 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (1.032 1.03)75.63% (-1.037 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.06%
    Villarreal 12.3%
    Draw 16.64%
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
2-0 @ 10% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.29% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-1 @ 7.83% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.42% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.123 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.077 0.08)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.025 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 71.06%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 16.64%
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.05% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 12.3%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Real Madrid
85.3%
Draw
10.7%
Villarreal
4.1%
197
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-4
Real Madrid
Sorloth (39', 48', 52', 56')
Moreno (45+5'), Traore (84'), Marcelino (90+1')
Guler (14', 45+2'), Joselu (30'), Vazquez (40')
Camavinga (66'), Ceballos (86')
Dec 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
4-1
Villarreal
Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Benzema (60' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Packers
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona16121348173137
2Real Madrid15103231131833
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao168532415929
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca167361618-224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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