La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 5
Barcelona

Perez (38')
Parejo (2'), Baena (52'), Bailly (66'), Perez (85'), Cardona (89'), Akhomach (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lewandowski (20', 35'), Torre (58'), Raphinha (74', 83')
Victor Delgado (82')

Reaction

Barcelona manager Hansi Flick pictured on September 21, 2024

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
28.12% ( 0.93)	22.14% ( 0.11)	49.74% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 64.49% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.7% (

0.2)

35.3% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.68% (

0.22)

57.33% (

-0.21)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.72)

24.52% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02% (

58.98% (

-1)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

-0.27)

14.57% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.37% (

-0.53)

42.63% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 28.12%

Barcelona 49.74%

Draw 22.14%

Villarreal	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.12%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.74%