La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Villarreal
36.68% ( 0.06)	27.15% ( 0.03)	36.17% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.02% (

-0.12)

54.98% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.75% (

-0.1)

76.25% (

0.1)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

-0.02)

28.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

-0.03)

64.69% (

0.03)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0.11)

29.14% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-0.13)

65.07% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Valencia 36.67%

Villarreal 36.16%

Draw 27.15%

Valencia	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.67%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.16%