Eerste Divisie Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Mitch van Kempen 4' yellowcard
  • Jonas Wendlinger 28' goal
  • Sven Braken 77' yellowcard
  • Lenn-Minh Quang Tran 77' yellowcard
  • Lenn-Minh Tran 77' yellowcard
  • Ayman Kassimi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Providence 46'
  • yellowcard Ferdy Druijf 46'
  • goal Ferdy Druijf 49'
  • yellowcard Olivier de Nijs 71'
  • yellowcard Hamza el Dahri 77'

MVV Maastricht vs Almere City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
FC Eindhoven 2 - 0 MVV
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 7.00pm
Almere City 1 - 2 Roda JC
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Julian Rijkhoff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

MVV Maastricht 30.77% (-0.08)
Draw 22.81% (+0.06)
Almere City 46.42% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.89% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.13% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.87% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 66.15% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 33.85% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 45.6% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 54.4% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 28.77% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 71.23% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 27.48%
Draw 37.11% (-0.05)
Almere City 35.41% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 43.5% (+0.05)
No Goal 3.47%
Almere City 53.03% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 63.79% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 25.66% (+0.02)
Over 9 52.53%
Equal 9 11.26% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.21% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 41.48%
Under 10.5 58.52%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 40.58%
Under 1.5 59.42%
Over 2.5 18.22% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.78% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.93% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.07% (-0.05)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 79.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.4% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 53.07% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 46.93% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 27.8% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 72.2% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.95% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 88.05% (-0.08)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 30.76%
Draw 22.8%
Almere City 46.43%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.5% (+0.01)
Total : 30.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.43% (+0.03)
Total : 22.8%
Almere City
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.45%
2-3 @ 4.89% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.52% (+0.05)
Total : 46.43%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Nov 7, 2025 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alvaro Pena 75' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ruben van Bommel 43' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 32
Mar 27, 2022 1.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mitchel Keulen 50' yellowcard
  • goal Ilias Alhaft 39'
  • goal Ilias Alhaft 45'
  • goal Jonas Arweiler 90'+2'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 15
Nov 19, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Romain Matthys 47'
  • goal Sven Blummel 49'
  • goal Sven Blummel 80'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 26, 2021 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jerome Deom 32' yellowcard
  • Sven Blummel 73' goal
  • Joy-Lance Mickels 82' goal
  • Joy-Lance Mickels 90'+3' yellowcard