Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.