Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (5.81%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%).