Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.