Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.