Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.