Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Francs Borains had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Francs Borains win was 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.