Coupe de France | Eighth Round

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stade du Hainaut

Valenciennes
4 - 3
Neuilly sur Marne

Boutoutaou (64'), Lilepo (65'), Oyewusi (72', 90+5')
Diomande (74'), Kayi Sanda (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jebnoun (59'), Oudy Balde (61'), Mutombo Mawesi (65')
Corso Traore (37')

Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Valenciennes and Neuilly sur Marne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Arras 0-2 Valenciennes
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Neuilly sur Marne

All competitions

Last Game: Roubaix 4-5 Neuilly sur Marne
Sunday, November 17 at 1pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 85.72%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Neuilly sur Marne had a probability of 4.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 4-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Neuilly sur Marne win it was 1-2 (1.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.

Result
Valenciennes	Draw	Neuilly sur Marne
85.72% ( 1.17)	9.47% ( -0.54)	4.81% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.13% (

-0.37)

23.87% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.57% (

-0.5)

43.42% (

0.5)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.23% (

0.11)

3.76% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.89% (

0.35)

16.11% (

-0.35)

Neuilly sur Marne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.15% (

-2.55)

48.84% (

2.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.15% (

-1.89)

83.84% (

1.89)

Score Analysis

Valenciennes 85.72%

Neuilly sur Marne 4.81%

Draw 9.47%

Valenciennes	Draw	Neuilly sur Marne
3-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.39) 5-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.27) 6-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.2) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 7-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.12) 7-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 85.72%	1-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 9.47%	1-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.94% Total : 4.81%