Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de La Pincenardiere

Le Mans
1 - 1
Valenciennes

Luth (28')
Lamgahez (7'), Voyer (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oyewusi (82')
Traore (8'), Mpata Lama (76'), Masson (84')
Le Mans win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 32 clash between Le Mans and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Marmande 0-7 Le Mans
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Valenciennes

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Thionville Lusitanos 2-2 Valenciennes (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%).

Result
Le MansDrawValenciennes
40.74% (-0.287 -0.29)28.55% (0.029 0.03)30.71% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 45.29% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)80.94% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Le Mans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)29.35% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.214 -0.21)65.33% (0.218 0.22)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (0.187 0.19)35.9% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (0.192 0.19)72.67% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Le Mans 40.73%
    Valenciennes 30.71%
    Draw 28.54%
Le MansDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.71%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Valenciennes
1-0
Le Mans
Chevalier (31' pen.)
Masson (52'), D'Almeida (71')

Lemonnier (30'), Fofana (42')
Aug 9, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 3
Le Mans
1-2
Valenciennes
Crehin (89')
Duponchelle (34')
Chevalier (46'), Romil (85')
Cuffaut (12'), D'Almeida (43')