Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de La Pincenardiere

Le Mans
4 - 0
Saint-Colomban Locmine

Gueye (35', 42' pen.), Bernardeau (90'), Luth (90+5')
Gueye (13'), Nonnenmacher (48'), Voyer (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Luciathe (15'), Sakirou Bila (42'), Faussurier (52')
Luciathe (26'), Chafik (53')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Le Mans and Saint-Colomban Locmine.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vannes OC 1-2 Le Mans
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Saint-Colomban Locmine 4-2 Sable FC
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Saint-Colomban Locmine had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Saint-Colomban Locmine win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Mans would win this match.

Result
Le MansDrawSaint-Colomban Locmine
62.53% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)21.51% (0.053000000000001 0.05)15.95% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-0.233 -0.23)47.75% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-0.214 -0.21)69.94% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Le Mans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.31% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)14.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.14% (-0.177 -0.18)42.86% (0.174 0.17)
Saint-Colomban Locmine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (-0.147 -0.15)42.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.85% (-0.124 -0.12)79.14% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Le Mans 62.52%
    Saint-Colomban Locmine 15.95%
    Draw 21.51%
Le MansDrawSaint-Colomban Locmine
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 15.95%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!