Coupe de France | Seventh Round
Nov 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Rabine

Vannes OC
1 - 2
Le Mans

Piquionne (51' pen.)
Fablet (43'), A (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rabillard (31' pen.), Calodat (76')
Matumona Makanga (26'), Tronchet (67'), Hatfout (90+2')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Seventh Round clash between Vannes OC and Le Mans.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Vannes OC 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, January 5 at 4pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Caen 0-2 Le Mans
Wednesday, July 24 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Vannes OC had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Vannes OC win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Mans would win this match.

Result
Vannes OCDrawLe Mans
22.39% (0.26 0.26)24.36% (0.216 0.22)53.25% (-0.476 -0.48)
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.323 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5% (-0.59500000000001 -0.6)50.5% (0.596 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-0.529 -0.53)72.42% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Vannes OC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.77% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)37.22% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)74.01% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Le Mans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (-0.40700000000001 -0.41)18.9% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (-0.684 -0.68)50.39% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Vannes OC 22.39%
    Le Mans 53.25%
    Draw 24.35%
Vannes OCDrawLe Mans
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.72% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.44% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.39%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 9.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.26% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.25%