Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 85.97%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Marmande had a probability of 3.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14%) and 0-1 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Marmande win it was 1-0 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Mans would win this match.