Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Thionville Lusitanos had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Thionville Lusitanos win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.