Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal Dr. Edmard Lama

Etoile Matoury
0 - 2
Thionville Lusitanos

FT(HT: 0-2)
Groune (20' pen.), Baradji (24')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Etoile Matoury and Thionville Lusitanos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Etoile Matoury

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Last Game: Aigles d'Or de Mana 3-2 Etoile Matoury
Saturday, November 23 at 2.45pm in Coupe de France
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Thionville Lusitanos

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Last Game: Boulay 0-3 Thionville Lusitanos
Saturday, November 16 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thionville Lusitanos win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Etoile Matoury had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thionville Lusitanos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Etoile Matoury win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thionville Lusitanos would win this match.

Result
Etoile MatouryDrawThionville Lusitanos
32.3% (0.137 0.14)22.94% (0.038 0.04)44.76% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.16% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.16% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)36.84% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.98% (-0.146 -0.15)59.02% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Etoile Matoury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (0.012 0.01)22.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Thionville Lusitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (-0.119 -0.12)16.94% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (-0.214 -0.21)47.03% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Etoile Matoury 32.3%
    Thionville Lusitanos 44.76%
    Draw 22.94%
Etoile MatouryDrawThionville Lusitanos
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.86% (0.025 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 44.76%