Coupe de France
Nov 30, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT :
0
2
FT
Stade Municipal Dr. Edmard Lama
-
Amine Groune
20'
-
Ibrahim Baradji
24'
Etoile Matoury vs Thionville Lusitanos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thionville Lusitanos win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Etoile Matoury had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thionville Lusitanos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Etoile Matoury win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thionville Lusitanos would win this match.
Result
Etoile Matoury
32.3%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
22.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Thionville Lusitanos
44.76%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
64.16%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.16%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
36.84%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
40.98%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
59.02%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
22.94%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
77.07%
▲
(+0.13)
Etoile Matoury Goals
Over 0.5
77.24%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
22.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
43.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
56.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Thionville Lusitanos Goals
Over 0.5
83.06%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
16.94%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
52.98%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
47.03%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Etoile Matoury
32.3%
Draw
22.94%
Thionville Lusitanos
44.76%
Etoile Matoury
2-1
@
7.5%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.3%
1-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.3%
Draw
1-1
@
10.13%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.94%
2-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.94%
Thionville Lusitanos
1-2
@
8.99%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 44.76%
0-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 44.76%