Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%).