Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.