Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Hapoel Haifa had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Hapoel Haifa win was 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.