Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.36%) and 0-1 (5.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.