Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.17% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.