Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 2-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.