Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.