Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sumqayit had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%) , while for a Sumqayit win it was 0-1 (5.25%).