Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Sumqayit had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Sumqayit win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.