UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK

Kapital Bank Arena

Sumqayit
1 - 2
Fehervar

(Fehervar win 2-1 on aggregate)

Abdullazada (20')
Xacayev (8'), Vujnovic (22'), Dzhenetov (32'), Muradov (67'), Abdullazada (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Christensen (39'), Spandler (52')
Serafimov (15'), Peto (65'), Larsen (68')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Sumqayit and Fehervar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sumqayit

Last Game: Sumqayit 0-2 Cukaricki
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Fehervar

All competitions

Last Game: Fehervar 2-2 Goztepe SK
Wednesday, July 17 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Sumqayit had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Sumqayit win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
Sumqayit	Draw	Fehervar
32.34% ( -0.01)	26.79% ( -0.02)	40.86% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.93% (

0.06)

54.07% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.5% (

0.05)

75.5% (

-0.05)

Sumqayit Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

0.02)

31.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

0.03)

67.48% (

-0.03)

Fehervar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

0.04)

26.03% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93% (

0.06)

61.07% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sumqayit 32.34%

Fehervar 40.86%

Draw 26.79%

Sumqayit	Draw	Fehervar
1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.34%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.86%