Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Burnley U21 had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Burnley U21 win was 1-2 (5.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%).